Economic clear losers - those in education

Primary Schools - Up to now schools could allow teachers to do further education studies in areas such as special needs, language development skills, this required that the teacher worked and studied part time or studied full time ( at the teacher's expense ), teachers could take up tempoarary posts in the department of Ed. or in teacher training schools. This is now stopped as teachers have to return to their posts as vacancies created by their absences can not now be filled. Temporary teachers will lose their jobs. Primary school teachers once qualified have to work one years under the supervision of the department of education, this is known as the "dip year" and has to be passed within five years of qualification, there are now no temporary posts for new teachers to do the "dip year". Gradually learning support teachers will be absorbed into classroom teaching, learners with problems will suffer, and classes will grow in size.

Secondary Schools - The same array of non replacement of temorary and retired teachers applies. The first service to fall victim to this will be Transition Year. 50,000 did it last year the numbers will drop to 10,000 over the next five years. Adding 10,000 a year to Leavng Cert. numbers, this will push points up dramatically.
On the subject of inflated points, over the last seven years 6,000 boys per annum with Leaving Cert will now no longer find an an apprenticeship these will have to be absorbed into the third level system ( many apprentices over the last for or five years had over 400 points).

Private Catholic secondary schools will see a drop in numbers. There are a few major drivers here - The most immediate is that less people will have the money, secondly there will be a preference for parents spending the money on third level.

Third Level - Local third level establishments will gain, less locals can afford to go up to Dublin. The entrance exibition examination in Trinity has stopped, thanks to an old guy who with the benefit of a degree from Geneva University got it in the late 70's. The real losers with the reintroduction of fees for third level are rural based students who may have just been able to afford accomodation costs are now knocked off the ladder with the fees and impossibility of getting a part time job while studying.

Those emerging from education are the most likely to become unemployed.